Business Debt Growth Doubles Post Covid, Hindering Financing

David Brooks
6 Min Read

American companies are carrying twice as much debt as they did before the pandemic, creating major hurdles for businesses seeking new financing. This dramatic shift in corporate balance sheets represents one of the most significant financial aftereffects of the COVID-19 era.

Companies across various sectors loaded up on debt during the pandemic’s uncertain days. Many took advantage of historically low interest rates to build cash reserves. What seemed like prudent financial management then has transformed into a concerning liability now. The average debt-to-earnings ratio for mid-sized businesses has jumped from 3.5 before the pandemic to nearly 7 today, according to recent Federal Reserve data.

“We’re seeing businesses struggle under debt levels that would have been unthinkable in 2019,” says Marissa Chen, senior credit analyst at Columbia Business School. “The combination of accumulated COVID-era borrowing and today’s higher interest rates has created a perfect storm for corporate finance departments.”

This debt surge is hitting small and medium enterprises particularly hard. Many face loan renewal terms that bear little resemblance to their original financing agreements. A business that secured a $1 million credit line at 4% in 2020 might now face renewal rates above 8%, effectively doubling their interest expenses overnight.

The manufacturing sector shows some of the most concerning trends. Factory owners who borrowed heavily to maintain operations during pandemic shutdowns now confront both weakened demand and higher debt servicing costs. Nearly 40% of manufacturers report spending more than 15% of their monthly revenue on debt payments, according to the latest Institute for Supply Management survey.

Financial institutions have responded by tightening lending standards across the board. Bank of America’s latest quarterly review indicates a 23% decrease in new commercial lending compared to pre-pandemic levels. Loan approval rates for businesses with debt-to-earnings ratios above 5 have plummeted to just 17%, down from 61% in 2019.

“Lenders are looking at balance sheets with unprecedented scrutiny,” explains Thomas Rivera, commercial banking director at Citizens Financial Group. “The days of easy corporate credit are decidedly behind us. We’re returning to fundamentals in ways we haven’t seen in over a decade.”

The retail sector faces particularly challenging circumstances. Major chains that took on debt to build e-commerce capabilities during lockdowns now struggle to generate sufficient returns on those investments. Department store operators carry debt loads averaging 8.2 times earnings, up from 4.1 in 2019. This financial strain has contributed to numerous closures across shopping centers nationwide.

Economists worry about broader economic impacts. Businesses with heavy debt burdens typically reduce hiring, limit expansion, and cut capital investments. These defensive measures, while necessary for individual companies, can collectively dampen economic growth when widespread enough.

“We’re witnessing a significant reallocation of corporate resources away from growth initiatives and toward debt management,” notes Sarah Bloom, economist at the Brookings Institution. “This shift fundamentally alters business planning horizons and risk tolerance across the economy.”

Some companies have found creative solutions to their debt challenges. Tech firms have increasingly turned to convertible bonds, which offer investors future equity options in exchange for more favorable interest terms. Meanwhile, consumer product companies have accelerated asset sales, with non-core business unit divestiture up 42% year-over-year.

Private equity firms have spotted opportunity amid this distress. Investment in debt-burdened companies has surged, with PE groups offering debt refinancing in exchange for equity stakes. This trend has been particularly pronounced in healthcare, where physician practice groups facing heavy debt loads have increasingly accepted outside ownership arrangements.

The current situation mirrors historical patterns following major economic disruptions. After the 2008 financial crisis, companies similarly struggled with debt overhangs for several years. However, key differences exist today – interest rates are rising rather than falling, and inflation has eroded profit margins in ways not seen in the previous recovery.

Government policymakers face difficult choices in addressing this corporate debt challenge. Aggressive interest rate increases to combat inflation directly increase debt burdens on businesses, potentially triggering more bankruptcies and layoffs. Yet failure to control inflation creates its own set of long-term economic hazards.

Industry analysts suggest businesses focus on three key strategies: restructuring existing debt to longer terms when possible, prioritizing cash flow over growth in the near term, and considering strategic partnerships that can provide capital without increasing debt leverage.

As businesses navigate these treacherous financial waters, the broader economic recovery hangs in balance. The next few quarters will prove critical in determining whether corporate America can successfully manage its pandemic debt legacy or whether we’ll see a wave of distress ripple through the business landscape.

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David is a business journalist based in New York City. A graduate of the Wharton School, David worked in corporate finance before transitioning to journalism. He specializes in analyzing market trends, reporting on Wall Street, and uncovering stories about startups disrupting traditional industries.
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