Trump GOP Tax Plan Small Business Impact Raises Concern

David Brooks
6 Min Read

The Trump-era tax cuts are back in the spotlight as House Republicans champion their renewal, but small business owners find themselves caught in a political crossfire with real economic consequences.

The 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) delivered substantial corporate tax reductions, dropping rates from 35% to 21%, while offering temporary benefits to small businesses through a 20% pass-through deduction. As these provisions approach their 2025 expiration date, House Republicans have passed legislation to make them permanent. However, the reality for small businesses is more complex than campaign rhetoric suggests.

“The original tax law created a clear hierarchy of winners,” explains Mark Mazur, former director of the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center. “Corporations got permanent cuts while small businesses received temporary benefits. That wasn’t accidental.”

Many small business advocates now express concern about disparities in the GOP’s renewal approach. Data from the Joint Committee on Taxation shows that making the pass-through deduction permanent would cost approximately $580 billion over a decade, with nearly 60% of benefits flowing to households earning over $500,000 annually.

Karen Kerrigan, president of the Small Business & Entrepreneurship Council, told me during a recent interview that many members worry about consistency. “Small businesses need tax certainty just like large corporations. The temporary nature of these provisions makes long-term planning extremely difficult.”

The pass-through deduction, known as Section 199A, allows qualifying business owners to deduct up to 20% of their business income. This impacts sole proprietorships, partnerships, and S-corporations – representing over 90% of American businesses. However, service businesses face phase-outs at higher income levels, creating complexity that many owners find bewildering.

A Federal Reserve survey found that while 78% of small business owners reported benefiting from TCJA provisions, only 32% felt they understood the law’s impact on their operations. This knowledge gap has real consequences as business owners make decisions without fully grasping future tax implications.

The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the TCJA reduced federal revenue by approximately $1.9 trillion over ten years. Treasury Department data shows corporate tax receipts dropped by one-third immediately following implementation, while the promised economic boom that would offset these losses never fully materialized.

“The challenge isn’t whether small businesses deserve tax relief – they absolutely do,” says Chye-Ching Huang, executive director of the Tax Law Center at NYU Law. “It’s whether this specific approach delivers meaningful, equitable support to businesses that truly need it.”

Small business owner Sarah Mitchell, who runs a manufacturing company in Ohio, shared her frustration: “The corporate cuts helped my competitors lock in permanent advantages while I’m left wondering if my tax benefits will disappear. How can I plan for five years out when I don’t know what my tax rate will be?”

This uncertainty impacts hiring decisions, capital investments, and retirement planning for millions of small business owners. According to the National Federation of Independent Business, 62% of small business owners cite tax uncertainty as a significant challenge to growth planning.

The political framing often obscures the real-world implementation details. Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers recently noted that “the original bill’s structure created a built-in cliff that would inevitably lead to this political moment.” By making corporate cuts permanent while setting individual and small business provisions to expire, the law’s architects effectively guaranteed future political leverage.

Goldman Sachs research suggests that making all TCJA provisions permanent would add approximately $4 trillion to federal deficits over the next decade. This raises legitimate questions about sustainability and who ultimately bears these costs.

Senate Finance Committee analysis indicates that true small businesses – those with under $500,000 in annual income – receive only about 14% of the pass-through deduction’s benefits. Meanwhile, some provisions actually disadvantage the smallest enterprises through the elimination of certain deductions that previously benefited microbusinesses.

As small business owners navigate these complex waters, many express frustration at being used as political props. “Every election cycle, politicians talk about small business while crafting policies that primarily benefit large corporations,” says James Wilson, who owns three retail stores in Pennsylvania. “We need tax policy that recognizes our unique challenges.”

The debate highlights fundamental questions about America’s tax philosophy: Should tax benefits be permanent or periodically reassessed? Should different business structures receive equivalent treatment? How should tax policy balance revenue needs against economic growth incentives?

What remains clear is that beneath the political posturing lies the financial reality for millions of small business owners seeking stability in an uncertain economic landscape. Their concerns transcend party lines, focusing instead on creating sustainable conditions for growth, investment, and job creation.

As the 2025 deadline approaches, small business owners would be well-advised to consult tax professionals about potential scenarios and prepare contingency plans. In Washington’s polarized environment, the only certainty is continued uncertainty.

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David is a business journalist based in New York City. A graduate of the Wharton School, David worked in corporate finance before transitioning to journalism. He specializes in analyzing market trends, reporting on Wall Street, and uncovering stories about startups disrupting traditional industries.
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